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Manager Expectations

japan equities jan 2017

IPE Expectations Indicator January 2017

January 2017 (Magazine)

What a difference a month makes. With the previous indicator poll taken days before the US election, this month’s results illustrate how managers have digested markets’ reactions to the outcome

currencies 2 dec 2016

IPE Expectations Indicator December 2016

December 2016 (Magazine)

With the US election over, the opportunity of interpreting expectations of managers just prior to it is interesting. There were some interesting changes in the most recent period, but by far the most intriguing was the shifting of expectations to stability in equity markets without significant changes elsewhere.

currency nov 2016

IPE Expectations Indicator November 2016

November 2016 (Magazine)

Summer is over. Gone for the next nine months are the warm nights, and worry-free days…correction, only the warm nights have gone. The worry-free days did not exist this summer, and they still do not. 

bonds oct 2016

IPE Expectations Indicator October 2016

October 2016 (Magazine)By

The current survey period captured the end of the summer. The number of managers voicing concern about interest rate policy is high. However, the current environment has yet to reflect the alarms of many major investors and the survey results indicate most managers expect little dramatic near-term movement. Whether it is not yet the season for action, or investors expect the status quo to continue, is yet unclear.

japan equities dec 2016

IPE Expectations Indicator September 2016

September 2016 (Online)By

As time passes since the UK’s decision to leave the EU, some of the trends of the months prior have returned. This includes: outperforming US equity markets and dwindling faith in US dollar strength against the euro and yen (albeit with some volatility) and in sterling, which continues to drift lower after its post-Brexit decline. Whether managers’ expectations have recovered as quickly as these trends is the subject of this month’s review.

dollar euro aug 2016

IPE Expectations Indicator August 2016

August 2016 (Online)By

The expectation survey for August was completed in a post-Brexit market environment in which uncertainty was high, but cooler heads ultimately prevailed. Initial reactions caused a rebound in USD strength and an equity market sell-off, which was ultimately short-lived. Nevertheless, disrupted markets will influence expectations and results from the survey reflect managers’ concerns towards riskier assets.

uk equities jul 2016

IPE Expectations Indicator July 2016

July / August 2016 (Magazine)By

During the survey period, managers experienced a different environment than during the two prior months. The dollar reversed its weakening trend, and commodity prices diverged as oil prices rose, metals’ declined, and coming screaming to the forefront of geopolitical headlines was the Brexit vote.

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