The coalition is likely to push through more radical pension reforms  

Key points

  • EC withheld €31m in COVID funds because the government had not met a requirement to make the pension system more sustainable
  • The prospective new Belgian coalition government is likely to reform the pension system and strengthen the second pillar

The new Belgian government, which is yet to be formed after parliamentary elections in June, has its work cut out. In July, it became clear that The European Commission had refused to pay out €31m in COVID recovery funds because the government had failed to sufficiently improve the long-term sustainability of the country’s pension system.

Last summer, the Belgian government hammered out a revised pension deal capping pensions for civil servants. The new deal was necessary since the government had linked a cost-saving pension reform to receiving a €847m payout in EU funds through the EU COVID Recovery Fund.

TOP PENSION FUNDS IN BELGIUM 
  Pension fund/entity Assets (€’000)   
1 Anheuser-Busch InBev NV 3,516,910
2 ExxonMobil OFP 3,375,345
3 Pensioenfonds KBC 2,936,000
4 EUROCONTROL 2,053,155
5 Amonis 1,854,663
6 Pensioenfonds Metaal OFP 1,829,860
7 BP Pensioenfonds OFP 1,663,000
8 Elgabel OFP 1,500,143
9 United Pensions OFP 1,376,953
10 Nokia Bell Pensioenfonds 1,232,416
©IPE Research; for reference dates see main ranking

It has now turned out, however, that the savings the government agreed on last year are not sufficient, according to the European Commission. If the next government presents additional cost-saving plans by March 2025, the money can still be paid out. 

The chances that the new government will be able to carry out more ambitious pension reforms that include cost savings as well as a strengthening of the second and third pillars, perhaps look higher than ever as the coalition will most likely not include any socialist party. 

The socialists, especially those from the French-speaking south, have always fiercely defended generous state pensions. “For us socialists, the pensioners of today and tomorrow will never be a budgetary variable,” outgoing pension minister Karine Lalieux, of the French-speaking Parti Socialiste (PS), said at a press conference in which she announced the need for additional reforms. 

The two parties that are likely to form the backbone of the new Belgian government, the conservative Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (N-VA) and liberal Mouvement Reformateur (MR), both advocate structural reform of the pension system and the labour market. 

N-VA, the largest party in Dutch-speaking Flanders, wants a strong link between years worked and the pension someone is entitled to. The party wants to introduce a system based on pension points, whereby everyone will get one pension point for every year of full-time work. Early retirement will only be possible after at least 42 years in work.

The party also wants to strengthen the second pillar and introduce a mandatory pension contribution by the employer of at least 3% of gross salary, with a view to increasing this to 5%. According to the umbrella organisation of Belgian pension funds, PensioPlus, less than a quarter of Belgian workers currently have an annual pension contribution in excess of 3%. 

MR, which won the elections in French-speaking Wallonia, is less specific in its electoral manifesto. However, it wants to see years in work reflected better in the amount of pension received. It also wants to increase the replacement ratio for the average worker to 75% of the final salary, up from 62%. The party does not say how it wants to achieve this but a significant increase in pension contributions in the second pillar seems inevitable.

Belgium: key data

  • Pension assets: €27.1bn
  • Occupational pension assets as % of GDP: 7.6%
  • Working population: 5.43m 
  • Projected old-age
  • dependency ratio: 42.3
  • Gross average replacement rate: 43.5%


Asset allocation (%)

Belgium pension funds asset allocation (%): Equity 35.7; Fixed income 40.6; Cash 3.6; Other 20.1

Source: OECD Pension Markets in Focus Preliminary 2023 data (June 2024); *OECD Pension Funds in Figures, 2023 (data as of end 2022). Data on asset allocation in these figures include both direct investment in equities, bills and bonds, cash and deposits and indirect investment through CIS when the look-through of CIS investments is available. Otherwise, investments by pension funds in CIS are shown in a separate category.

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