Currency – Page 5
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FeaturesFixed Income, Rates, Currencies: A very different recovery
Amongst the remarkable happenings in 2020, from startling news of a pandemic to viable vaccine and beyond, has been the speed and scale of interventions from central banks and governments.
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FeaturesFixed Income, Rates, Currencies: Vaccine boosts bullish markets
The swings in outcome predictions as the vote counting began in the US election were large. From the realisation that there was no blue wave of Democrat success, to a possible re-election for Donald Trump, to a Joe Biden win but with a Republican Senate, it was tricky to comprehend the investment implications.
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FeaturesFixed Income, Rates, Currencies: Economy reaches tipping point
The global reflation trade, and with it the outlook for further dollar weakness, seems paused as speculation on the outcome of the imminent US presidential election diverts attention and has many retreating to neutral positions.
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FeaturesAhead of the curve: Gold all set to shine during uncertain times
Which asset has no cash flow or yield, has a volatility similar to equities even though its long-term performance lags behind equities, and which has also had long periods of negative returns? Gold.
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FeaturesFixed income, rates, currencies: Reality gap widens
August 2020 saw the US Treasury market post one of its worst monthly performances since November 2016, while global equities, led by the US, reached new highs.
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FeaturesFixed income, rates, currencies: Still facing anxious times
Developed market government bond yields have spent the summer drifting lower as risk assets traded better. However, this benign climate has not lifted the fog of confusion caused by COVID-19.
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FeaturesThe Renminbi: A matter of trust
Only a few years ago, there was much hype about the renminbi becoming the next significant reserve currency and potentially even threatening the dominance of the dollar.
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FeaturesFixed income, rates, currencies: Dismay sets in
As lockdowns ease, particularly in the northern hemisphere and the Antipodes, economic recoveries get underway. Given the exceptional circumstances, economic forecasts and predictions may show little consensus, or potentially be wrong, the puzzling US payroll announcements for May being a vivid example.
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FeaturesFixed income, rates, currencies: Unprecedented times
According to a Wall Street Journal blog, the word “unprecedented” was used in 395 of the publication’s articles in the past three months. Also popular were massive, enormous, staggering and eye-popping
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AnalysisFixed income, rates, currencies: Thinking on one’s feet
The enormous scale of national lockdowns has made it hard to keep abreast of all the extraordinary monetary interventions and fiscal support packages worldwide.
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FeaturesFixed income, rates, currencies: Global economy under pressure
At the end of February, after a week that saw stock markets around the world plummet, US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell sought to calm fears, saying that the Fed would “act as appropriate” to support growth.
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FeaturesFixed Income & Credit: Potential for adventures
Emerging-market local-currency corporate debt is under-explored by global investors
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FeaturesEmerging market outlook
Emerging markets have a knack for being in the headlines for the wrong reasons. They also stand out as sources of growth for investors who face low interest rates and muted economic performance in the developed world
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AnalysisFixed income, rates, currencies: China’s woe hits rest of world
While the speed and breadth of the spread of infection was unknown, it was apparent that the outbreak of the new coronavirus, named COVID-19 by the World Health Organization (WHO), would cause considerable disruption to economic activity in China.
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FeaturesDollar/sterling: The road ahead for cable
The twisting path of the dollar/sterling relationship over 2020 will provide ongoing theatre, punctuated by moments of intensity
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FeaturesFixed income, rates, currencies: A confident start to the year
Undoubtedly a good year for financial assets, 2019 ended on a bright note with the broad, and relieved, consensus that the China/US trade conflict might be de-escalating
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FeaturesAre cryptocurrencies an asset class for institutional investors?
Cryptocurrencies are sweeping the world in terms of news headlines but how should institutional investors react?
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FeaturesFixed income, rates, currencies: Better than expected
Although packed with geopolitical surprises 2019 turned out to be better than expected for financial assets. Equities and bonds rallied together reversing last year’s ‘unusual occurrence’ of both performing badly.
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NewsDenmark gives pension stats higher profile as sector grows
Pension and insurance assets now amount to 213% of GDP
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FeaturesFixed income, rates, currencies: Clouded by uncertainty
It was predictable that risk markets should have reacted positively to the news of an agreement in principle in the US-China trade negotiations. Although assuredly better than a seemingly relentless stream of bad will between the protagonists, the provisional agreement is in no way a solution to the conflict. Another round of trade talks could be necessary just to reach a tentative accord. Investors would be wise to temper enthusiasm to extrapolate the ‘good news’ too far.
