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Features
Briefing: The challenge of investing in Europe’s energy transition
The way the European economy powers itself is undergoing a fundamental shift, driven by market forces and policymakers. But while the direction of travel is clear, the path to a different energy mix is tortuous and the shift may be much slower than required to meet Europe’s target to be net zero by 2050.
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Features
Fixed income, rates, currencies: Trump 2.0 sends global markets out of sync
Trump’s re-election prompted a rally in US assets, but elsewhere in global markets investors did not react positively
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Features
Asset allocation: hard to pick short-term winners
IPE’s latest manager expectations survey finds high net sentiment across most main asset classes as allocators weigh the Trump trade
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Features
Insurance-linked securities bank a stellar year for returns
Insurance-linked securities (ILS) may be complicated, but they are gaining an institutional following especially among pension and sovereign wealth funds, multi-asset investment firms and endowments.
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Features
Fixed income, rates, currencies: All eyes on Trump’s return
With the Republican Party now in control of both Senate and House, the leeway that President-elect Donald Trump will have to enact his pre-election policies could be considerable.
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Features
The effect of behavioural biases on active investment portfolios
It has been become apparent in recent years that behavioural finance has important things to say about how investors make decisions.
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Features
IPE Quest Expectations Indicator - December 2024
Bond expectations falling, equity mostly flat
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Features
A new perspective on credit for climate transition
Sustainable finance has turned out to be a much dirtier and grittier battlefield than early adopters and advocates projected it to be.
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Features
Market looks to Xi Jinping for a plan to boost China’s economy
When the Chinese government announced a package of measures designed to revitalise the domestic economy in late September, the country’s stock markets responded positively, and many breathed a sigh of relief.
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Features
Soft landing likely again for US economy
It has been more than a year since the attacks by Hamas in Israel and tensions in the Middle East remain high, with a rising impact on financial market sentiment.
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Features
IPE Quest Expectations Indicator - November 2024
Donald Trump has profited from climate change, which he believes unimportant, as this year’s hurricane season has so far seen more storms over a wider area.
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Features
US high yield bonds punch out of a corner
US high yield has come a long way from its murky beginnings with the very high yielding bonds of so called ‘fallen angels’, and Drexel Burnham Lambert’s Michael Milken offering bonds newly issued by corporates with sub-investment grade ratings for the first time in the 1980s, properly introducing the world to high yield bond investing.
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Features
Can central banks retain their independence?
Over the last few decades, following central bank behaviour has been a rewarding investment strategy. That is why there is now a community of people employed to analyse every word central bank officials utter.
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Features
Fixed income, rates, currencies: All eyes are on US elections
With so many important elections taking place this year, politics were likely to have an outsized influence on financial markets.
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Features
IPE Quest Expectations Indicator - October 2024
In generic US polls, Democrats beat Republicans, with a small but increasing margin, signalling an opportunity for reforms if Kamala Harris wins and a continuation of a divided and blocked Congress if Donald Trump wins.
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Features
Fears grow of US slowdown
US president Joe Biden’s decision to step aside was much murmured about following his disastrous performance in a debate with Donald Trump, but it was still a surprise when he announced his decision. However, market reactions were relatively muted, despite shaking pollsters’ predictions on who might now win the election.
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Features
NAV finance takes hold as a niche form of private credit
Private equity investments are by their nature illiquid, which is why PE general partners (GPs) raising a new fund only call on the committed capital when it needs to be deployed in a new investment – and that may be up to a few years after the fund closes.
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Features
Secondary markets and innovation boost private equity liquidity
Liquidity has reduced significantly in global private capital markets. Whilst private equity-backed IPOs are up this year, overall exit value is down by 66% and there is currently a large backlog of unsold assets, of which 40% are four years or older. The cumulative sum of unsold assets sits at $3.2trn (€2.9trn), according to Bain. Recent data from Preqin shows that capital called has exceeded capital distributed by $1.57trn since 2018, highlighting the lack of free capital in private markets.
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Features
Change is required as populations age
During a recent weekend in the artsy California mountain town of Idyllwild, my wife and I enjoyed a performance of a local band. Seated near us was a gentleman wearing a T-shirt proclaiming, We the People ARE PISSED OFF. The message on this shirt caught my attention.
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Features
IPE Quest Expectations Indicator - September 2024
Kamala Harris’ candidacy has turned the political mood in the US. The two candidates are very close together in the polls but while Trump’s score is stable – except for a worsening favourability – Harris’ statistics all show a positive trend.