Asset Allocation – Page 25
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FeaturesIs the US heading for a soft landing?
Rare though they are in history, a soft landing for the US economy seems to be the consensus forecast, a view aided by news of a sharp contraction in the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Services Purchasing Managers index in December. The jobs market also looks like it is slowing down and there are signs of a cooling off in wages, with lower-than-expected average hourly earnings reported in December’s non-farm payroll report.
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FeaturesIPE Quest Expectations Indicator: February 2023
Russian attacks against Ukrainian civilians are hampered by efficient air defence. With weapons for the Ukrainian military on the way, a new offensive seems imminent. US President Joe Biden’s troubles over classified documents are a relief for Republicans. The threat of a US-EU trade conflict over China is growing as both sides retreat into nationalistic behaviour. In the UK, Conservatives are under threat of predicted historic losses, while Prime Minister Rishi Sunak so far has done nothing to repair relations with the EU.
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FeaturesQontigo Riskwatch - February 2023
*Data as of 30 December 2022. Forecast risk estimate for each index measured by the respective US, World and Emerging Markets Qontigo model variants
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NewsNorway SWF loses 14% on assets in 2022 but stages a rebound in January
For first time, NBIM outperforms in a loss-making year
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NewsPublica looks for real estate equity managers to invest in US, Canada
The pension fund plans to bolster its international allocation to real estate, adding Canada as a new market
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Opinion PiecesViewpoint: Climate-related scenario analysis – part of the problem or part of the solution?
‘I’ve yet to see a board of trustees that has made significant changes to its asset allocation as a result of scenario analysis,’ says Julis Pursaill at Cushon
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NewsNordic pension funds tilt equity portfolios to value amid high inflation
Persistent high inflation could cause headaches for some providers, due to inflation-linked benefits - but hopes are high for slower price rises
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NewsCompenswiss holds strategy as first pillar reform gives room for illiquid investments
It will receive additional funds through an increase of the VAT rate
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NewsIndustriens boosts commitment to US climate venture fund
Danish labour-market pension fund cites good collaboration with manager DCVC as reason for committing more
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Opinion PiecesViewpoint: Escape from Flatland
A two-dimensional, return-and-volatility view of investments may not allow you to see important risks
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FeaturesResearch: Pension investing in an inflation fuelled world
Monica Defend and Amin Rajan highlight the big upheavals facing pension investors
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InterviewsDutch medical specialists: focus on healthy pensions
Marcel Roberts (right), CIO, and Ravien Sewtahal, investment manager of SPMS, the Dutch pension fund for medical specialists, talk to Carlo Svaluto Moreolo about risk management and sustainability
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FeaturesFixed income, rates & currency: Inflation strengthens its grip
Whereas news of the hostilities in Ukraine may be losing their potential to shock and dislocate the world economic order, inflation news has maintained its powerful hold over financial markets across the world throughout 2022, with many economies recording their highest inflation levels for decades.
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Country ReportCentral & Eastern Europe: Kosovo Pensions Trust’s journey to maturity
10% contribution rate is low for the Balkans and changes could be afoot
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FeaturesAhead of the curve: Is small cap the next mean reversion trade?
By now, most investors have noticed a rebound in value relative to growth in equity markets. After underperforming growth over the past decade, value stocks are experiencing strong mean reversion and outperforming significantly.
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FeaturesIPE Quest Expectations Indicator - January 2023
Better air defence and the ground freezing over are steadily improving the outlook for Ukraine’s forces, now locked in stalemate. A series of blunders haunts US Republicans in general and Trump in particular. If Biden’s stimulus package is enacted, it will counteract Fed policy, possibly prolonging the series of interest rate increases. The EU seems to have bought too much gas. It has agreed to take border measures against some products from climate change laggard countries.
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FeaturesQontigo Riskwatch - January 2023
*Data as of 30 November 2022. Forecast risk estimate for each index measured by the respective US, World and Emerging Markets Qontigo model variants
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News
Dutch pension giant ABP to cut investments by half in net zero drive
Hollands largest pension fund will focus on companies making committed pledges to decarbonisation
